If we take a 3-5 year forecast, although I said that they are the least accurate, then I would not invest in electric cars. True, this issue can be distorted by all sorts of government regulations. As it is done in California. But I would not invest in electric cars for another reason. Once in Popular Mechanics there was a very interesting article, it was called "The Brakes of Progress". It was an article about some natural resources, primarily metals, of which there is a very limited amount in the earth's crust and which, in connection with this, can slow down some sectors of the economy of our development. In particular, a big problem in the production of batteries, because all today's technologies use some metals, for example, some rare earth metals, which are simply not physically available on luxembourg number data Earth in such quantities to produce batteries for all the cars that are needed. Therefore, if you invest in this area, you need to invest only in the development of some new type of battery, because batteries of this type are good while thousands of these cars are being produced, but when they start being produced in the millions, it will turn out that there is simply nothing to make them from.
Denis Dovgopoly: And how, from your point of view, will Google’s driverless car initiative affect the automobile market?
Alexander Olshansky: Good idea. I have already said that we are in for big shocks in the field of logistics, including the logistics of people. Although I am not sure about this, there is a very subtle psychological component here - your own car is too personal a space, but at least public transport can evolve greatly: why should I squeeze in a bus if a car will pull up to me, take me somewhere and then immediately pull up to the next one. With a certain information infrastructure, this process can be very, very strongly optimized. That is, now the movement of transport contains a colossal non-optimal component. I think that it can be optimized by 80%, just a minute, 5 times. That is, in fact, 80% of all movements of all transport are, most likely, unnecessary movements that we could avoid if we could manage this process with the help of modern calculations, modern mathematics, information technology. Why did we decide that bus routes should be fixed in time, this is absolutely unnecessary. If I enter my destination on my device,, but also among routes that change over time. That is, routes can change over time depending on how many people are going where, and they can change dynamically. That is, when I enter on my device that I need to go to VDNKh, and it tells me, you’ll get there in 20 minutes, take bus 398, it’ll be here soon. I take it, then after some time it tells me, “That’s it, now please change to another bus, because the route has changed and this one doesn’t go to VDNKh anymore.” So, since everything is calculated, the program knew where I should go and where everyone else should go. Since all this can be calculated, the time it takes me to get to VDNKh may be less than the time it takes to get to VDNKh on regular fixed routes. And I won’t even mention the cost of gasoline. In general, I think that this whole driverless structure will greatly advance, at least, public transport. Although, again, it will probably take 15 years.
it can build me a route not only among fixed routes
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zakiyatasnim
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